CP
CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP (CPF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid core momentum: EPS was $0.67 on net income of $18.3M, with NIM expanding 13 bps to 3.44% and the efficiency ratio improving to 60.36% as mix shifts and lower deposit costs offset modest balance sheet contraction .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS slightly missed ($0.67 vs. $0.70*) and revenue missed ($67.8M* vs. $71.8M*), though company “total revenue” (NII + noninterest) was $72.8M; definitional differences likely explain part of the gap . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Asset quality remained within range: NPAs rose to 0.20% of assets and annualized net charge-offs ticked to 0.35%, driven by an idiosyncratic $2.0M C&I charge-off; ACL/loans held at 1.13% .
- Guidance/forward look: management continues to target low single-digit 2025 loan/deposit growth; near-term opex run-rate was raised to $43.5–$44.5M/quarter (from $42.5–$43.5M in Q1), with a one-time $2.0–$2.5M write-off tied to exiting the ops center by year-end and a 22–24% tax rate .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: continued NIM expansion as CDs reprice lower (June spot deposit cost 0.98%; ~$780M CDs maturing 2H25 at ~3.6% vs. new promo ~3.4%), and evidence of loan growth conversion from a healthy CRE/construction pipeline .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- NIM and efficiency improved again: NIM +13 bps to 3.44% and efficiency ratio to 60.36% on lower deposit costs and better mix; ROA/ROE were 1.00%/13.04% .
- Deposit cost leverage emerging: total deposit cost averaged 1.02% (down 6 bps QoQ); spot deposit cost on 6/30 was 0.98%; June NIM was 3.49% .
- Strategic tone: “continued strength of our core business… strong asset quality, capital, and liquidity positions” (CEO) supporting growth execution .
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What Went Wrong
- Estimates miss: S&P consensus EPS $0.70* vs. actual $0.67; revenue $71.8M* vs. S&P actual $67.8M* (company total revenue reported $72.8M) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Credit normalized higher: annualized NCOs rose to 0.35% (from 0.20% in Q1), including a $2.0M full C&I charge-off; NPAs increased to 0.20% of assets .
- Expenses tracked up: quarterly other opex rose to $43.9M (up ~$1.9M QoQ) on deferred comp (equity markets) and software spend; opex run-rate guidance lifted to $43.5–$44.5M .
Financial Results
- Comparative performance (company-reported). Revenue shown as “Total revenue” = Net Interest Income + Total Other Operating Income. Periods ordered oldest → newest.
- S&P Global consensus vs. reported (Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Company “Total revenue” (NII + noninterest) was $72.81M in Q2 2025, which can differ from S&P’s revenue definition .
- KPIs (asset quality and funding)
- Business mix/segments (as of 6/30/25)
- Loan portfolio composition: Residential mortgage 35%, Commercial mortgage 29%, Home equity 12%, C&I 11%, Consumer 9%, Construction 4% .
- Total loans: $5.29B; Total deposits: $6.54B .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Our second quarter financial results demonstrate the continued strength of our core business… strong asset quality, capital, and liquidity positions will enable us to grow our business” .
- COO: “Loan pipeline remains healthy… several CRE and construction loans booking in early Q3… deposit generation initiatives related to Japan and Korea are gaining traction” .
- CFO: “NIM expanded by 13 bps to 3.44%… driven by loan yield +8 bps and total deposit cost –6 bps… spot deposit cost on June 30 was 0.98%; June margin 3.49%” .
- CRO: “Increase in net charge-offs this quarter was related to the write-off of a single commercial loan… portfolio expected loss relatively unchanged; capital provides cushion” .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth momentum: Loan runoffs (residential/HELOC) offset by robust CRE/construction pipeline; several deals slipped to Q3 and already closed in July, supporting 2H revenue .
- Deposit cost leverage: ~$430M CDs mature in Q3 and ~$350M in Q4 at ~3.6% roll-off; new promo ~3.4%, enabling cost tailwinds if rate cuts occur; betas on rate-sensitive deposits near 100% .
- Expense run-rate: Near-term total other opex guided to $43.5–$44.5M/quarter excluding one-time items; investments in tech/data center elevate software expense near term with offsets elsewhere .
- Credit clarity: Idiosyncratic C&I charge-off drove higher NCOs; criticized loans increased to 1.8% but remain low; two large loans downgraded but performing/adequately collateralized .
- New loan yields: Q2 new production ~7.2% vs. portfolio yield ~4.96%, implying accretive repricing on growth .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P consensus: EPS missed modestly ($0.67 vs $0.70*); S&P revenue missed ($67.8M* vs $71.8M*). Company-reported total revenue was $72.8M (NII + noninterest), highlighting definitional differences . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Forward S&P consensus: Q3 2025 EPS ~$0.74*, revenue ~$74.37M*; Q4 2025 EPS ~$0.71*, revenue ~$75.70M* (3 ests) — trajectory assumes ongoing NIM support and stable credit. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- NIM expansion continues with multiple levers (lower deposit costs, CD roll-offs, accretive loan yields) and could outpace peers if rate cuts materialize and betas transmit quickly .
- Operating leverage improving despite a higher opex run-rate; efficiency ratio fell to ~60%, positioning for incremental margin drop-through as revenue scales .
- Credit remains manageable; Q2 uptick was idiosyncratic and within appetite; watch NPAs (0.20%) and criticized loans (1.8%) for trend into 2H .
- Loan growth inflecting into 2H: closed early-Q3 loans and a healthy CRE/construction pipeline support low single-digit 2025 growth and revenue momentum .
- Funding franchise is an edge: improving noninterest-bearing mix and rational pricing in Hawaii support deposit cost declines; international initiatives add optionality .
- Capital return intact: $0.27 dividend maintained and buybacks active (103k shares at $25); CET1 12.6% and total RBC 15.8% provide flexibility .
- Near-term trading setup: modest headline miss vs S&P may be overshadowed by visible NIM tailwinds, pipeline conversion, and improving efficiency; macro (rate path) and credit normalization are key watch-fors .
Appendix: Additional Context and Sources
- Q2 2025 results press release (8-K Exhibit 99.1) and earnings supplement provide full financial tables and regulatory ratios .
- Standalone Q2 earnings press release provides identical highlights and tables –.
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript contains prepared remarks and Q&A detail cited above –.
- Prior quarters used for trend: Q1 2025 earnings PR and call – –; Q4 2024 earnings PR and call – –.
- Conference call announcement PR (timing/logistics) .
Footnote on estimates: All values marked with an asterisk (*) are consensus/actuals retrieved from S&P Global.